MSTR (Strategy) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-26.74 (As of Mar. 2026)


MSTR Strategy Inc MSTR
61 GF Score
Price $86.18
GF Value $118.30
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Strategy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Strategy MSTR +1.00% 61 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-26.74 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MSTR with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of $118.30 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Strategy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-21.677. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-26.74 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -82.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -88.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Strategy was 38.10% per year. The lowest was -89.80% per year. And the median was -2.80% per year.

As of today (2026-06-26), Strategy's current stock price is $86.18. Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $-26.74. Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Strategy was 40.76. The lowest was 22.90. And the median was 29.63.


Strategy  (NAS:MSTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Strategy was 40.76. The lowest was 22.90. And the median was 29.63.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Strategy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Strategy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Strategy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Strategy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.44 -3.93 -5.06 -15.58 -24.05

Strategy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.83 -21.25 -23.01 -24.05 -26.74

MSTR vs ADSK, WDAY, PAYX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Strategy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MSTR
61GF Score
Strategy Inc MSTR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Strategy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Strategy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-21.677/330.2130*330.2130
=-21.677

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Strategy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.130 241.018 0.178
201609 0.233 241.428 0.319
201612 0.137 241.432 0.187
201703 0.222 243.801 0.301
201706 0.086 244.955 0.116
201709 0.099 246.819 0.132
201712 0.238 246.524 0.319
201803 0.152 249.554 0.201
201806 0.028 251.989 0.037
201809 -0.016 252.439 -0.021
201812 -0.135 251.233 -0.177
201903 0.198 254.202 0.257
201906 0.197 256.143 0.254
201909 0.021 256.759 0.027
201912 0.075 256.974 0.096
202003 0.283 258.115 0.362
202006 -0.031 257.797 -0.040
202009 -4.401 260.280 -5.583
202012 -7.200 260.474 -9.128
202103 -10.616 264.877 -13.235
202106 -5.296 271.696 -6.437
202109 -4.065 274.310 -4.893
202112 -5.508 278.802 -6.524
202203 -1.528 287.504 -1.755
202206 -0.281 296.311 -0.313
202209 -0.069 296.808 -0.077
202212 -0.661 296.797 -0.735
202303 -0.977 301.836 -1.069
202306 -2.275 305.109 -2.462
202309 -1.199 307.789 -1.286
202312 -5.339 306.746 -5.747
202403 -9.377 312.332 -9.914
202406 -4.579 314.175 -4.813
202409 -8.194 315.301 -8.582
202412 -81.458 315.605 -85.228
202503 -29.917 319.799 -30.891
202506 -22.239 322.561 -22.767
202509 -15.752 324.800 -16.015
202512 -10.592 324.054 -10.793
202603 -21.677 330.213 -21.677

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-26.74 mean?
Strategy (MSTR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-26.74 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Strategy and its competitors.
Is Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Strategy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-26.74. Overall, Strategy has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ADSK and WDAY?
Strategy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-26.74 can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Software company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Software industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Strategy and its competitors. Strategy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-26.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Strategy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Strategy (MSTR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $118.30, compared to a current price of $86.18 — trading 27.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-26.74. Strategy's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Strategy (MSTR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-26.74 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Strategy (MSTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Strategy stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $86.18 is trading 27.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $118.30. GuruFocus considers Strategy to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MSTR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-26.74
  • GF Value™: $118.30 vs. price of $86.18 (27.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MSTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Strategy Business Description

Address 1850 Towers Crescent Plaza, Tysons Corner, VA, USA, 22182
Strategy Inc is a bitcoin treasury company and a provider of business intelligence services. It is designed to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed-income instruments. The company also provides industry AI-powered enterprise analytics software. It has one reportable operating segment: the Software Business, which is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of the company's enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services (i.e., product support, consulting, and education). Geographically, the company operates in EMEA, U.S. and Other Regions, of which maximum revenue is derived from U.S..
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MSTR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$86.18
Price
$118.30
GF Value